What I’m about to say should be understood in the context of the experience of somebody who was in train service, qualified under the rulebook used by the Class 1s, as well as one who spent well over two decades immersed in Federal policy analysis for a state transportation agency. There are so many errors of fact and substance in stories like this that it is difficult to know where to begin. I’ll start with the big picture on the government side, noting that my comments pertain to US practice only.
When discussing anything related to regulations, it is necessary to be familiar with the enabling legislation. This is conspicuous by its absence in this case. As such, the first place one should be looking is the Legislative branch, i.e. Congress, rather than the Executive branch, much less whoever happens to be the titular head of it at any given point in time.
The second thing one should keep in mind is that policy issues tend to have a very long and complicated history, to the extent that the will outlast generations of staff assigned to work on them. I recall reports and draft regulations on these issues crossing my desk back in the ‘80s, and they were not news then. I’ll give you an even better example: the earliest Federal report I’ve seen on what is now called Bus Rapid Transit was published in 1959, fully half a decade before the Feds had a transit agency as such. If this was the first time it came up, and I have reason to believe it wasn't, the planning justification probably pre-dated my birth.
Thus, the question of whether this is a political, or more properly described, partisan question is, at best, unimportant if not irrelevant. Dig into it to the level I have, in which I’ve seen who sponsors what, who votes for what, what the conference committed reports say the true legislative intent is, and what actually is adopted as implementing regulations, and you’ll quickly find yourselves wracking your brains trying to reconcile reality with what you’ve seen in the press releases and media reports. This case is but one example, and not, by any means, the best I’ve see. The basic Congressional policy logic is usually (yes, there are exceptions … from time to time), “We must do something. This is something. Therefore, we must do it.” As a rule, once something becomes an issue, all intelligent discussion stops, and the problem that prompted it is forgotten.
As to the industry, I have some serious concern that we are beginning to run into the same sort of problems we’ve run into with highway safety, in which well-intentioned measures to make wrecks more survivable have the unintended effect of enabling more of the bad behavior that caused them to begin with. In attempting to design-out the technological risk, we end up maximising the most risky factor in the equation. The Lac Megantic disaster is a case in point, having nothing to do with “how many guys are in the cab,” but with the fact that the train was improperly laid up and the hand brakes improperly applied. The guys I worked with would have considered these savagely irresponsible.
To that end, I am far more concerned with the PTC mandate than a one-man-crew rule. I’m aware that the Europeans have had one-man crews in some cases for decades. I’m also aware that North American conditions are different, and that the potential for analogous services is limited. PTC, on the other hand, is much like the Cat IIIc autopilot, which can land you hands-off, but you wouldn’t want to bet your life on it. The danger of PTC is that you can put anybody in the cab … until the PTC fails and you have a catastrophe. If I had to choose between having one conscientious professional in the cab as opposed to an automatic system that is supposed to provide a fail-safe, I’ll take the professional every day.
It is easy to criticise railroad management. Most of us in the US have been trained to do so since our early schooling, with the discussion of Credit Mobiler, the robber barons and the early strikes. The traditional is that they have to keep a railroad running in the black in the face of taxation and regulation well in excess of that imposed on other modes. You can be sure that if the financial risk of one-man crews exceeds the benefit, the will have no choice but to drop it like a hot potato.
There is an excellent video on YouTube that illustrates the problem of self-appointed Congressional experts and railroad safety:
https://youtu.be/u9LTOnQaYfc Perhaps you’ll understand my skepticism.